Preseason Rankings
Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#302
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.9#58
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#315
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#248
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.3% 20.6% 11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 34.7% 62.8% 29.3%
.500 or above in Conference 16.9% 27.0% 15.0%
Conference Champion 2.5% 4.2% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.2% 3.7%
First Four10.1% 12.7% 9.7%
First Round7.8% 14.2% 6.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Little Rock (Neutral) - 16.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 48 - 49 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 127   Arkansas Little Rock L 70-81 16%    
  Nov 27, 2020 168   Southern Illinois L 62-70 24%    
  Nov 27, 2020 261   Evansville L 70-72 42%    
  Nov 29, 2020 26   @ Louisville L 60-84 1%    
  Dec 02, 2020 84   UNC Greensboro L 64-79 9%    
  Dec 03, 2020 82   Western Kentucky L 68-83 9%    
  Dec 05, 2020 177   @ Grand Canyon L 69-79 18%    
  Dec 15, 2020 105   @ Murray St. L 65-81 8%    
  Dec 21, 2020 129   @ Washington St. L 69-82 13%    
  Jan 04, 2021 334   @ Alcorn St. W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 04, 2021 262   @ Southern L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 25, 2021 338   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 30, 2021 343   Alabama A&M W 75-63 84%    
  Feb 01, 2021 344   Alabama St. W 77-65 85%    
  Feb 22, 2021 338   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 72-63 79%    
  Feb 27, 2021 343   @ Alabama A&M W 72-66 67%    
  Mar 01, 2021 344   @ Alabama St. W 74-68 69%    
  Mar 04, 2021 262   Southern W 71-70 52%    
  Mar 06, 2021 334   Alcorn St. W 80-72 75%    
Projected Record 8 - 11 7 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 1.8 2.5 1st
2nd 0.1 2.0 6.1 2.6 10.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.9 7.6 4.6 0.5 14.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 6.9 7.1 0.6 0.0 15.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.8 7.7 1.6 0.0 14.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.1 7.3 3.3 0.1 14.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.7 3.6 0.3 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 4.1 2.9 0.5 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.2 8.2 12.7 17.4 20.1 18.3 12.0 4.9 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 36.1% 1.8    0.5 0.9 0.4 0.0
9-9 5.8% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Total 2.5% 2.5 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 4.9% 37.4% 37.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 3.1
9-9 12.0% 26.6% 26.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.7 8.8
8-10 18.3% 18.6% 18.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.2 14.9
7-11 20.1% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 17.7
6-12 17.4% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7 15.7
5-13 12.7% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.6 12.0
4-14 8.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.1
3-15 4.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.2
2-16 1.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.6
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 13.3% 13.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 11.8 86.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%